Archive for March, 2007

Rudy News: “Black Friday”

March 30, 2007

(NOTE: For those of you unfamiliar with “Black Friday,” see this Wikipedia entry.)

The Real Clear Politics blog reports on a rash of anti-Rudy news stories today.

Tonight the Giulianis interview with Barbara Walters will air, and reportedly the topics will be wide-ranging (and personal).

Steve Forbes pens an excellent endorsement in today’s Wall Street Journal “Extra” section.

All in all, it’s been a busy newsday for Rudy!

More on Rudy and Forbes

March 29, 2007

The campaign sure timed this out nicely.  First Rudy gets on Kudlow, arguably the wisest financial pundit in the universe, and channels Steve Forbes, which is entirely consistent with his record as mayor.  The next day Steve Forbes joins his campaign.

Then the day after that you start getting editorials like this one in the NY Sun, in part saying “Mr. Giuliani is emerging as the candidate in this race for growth-oriented, economic conservatives…”   It is certainly no surprise the NY Sun may be partial to Hizzoner.  As an early supporter of NYC’s conservative newspaper of record, though, I can’t tell you how gratifying this is to me.

UPDATE:  The editorial comments on how when Giuliani was mayor he was initially againstrepealing the commuter tax, and so implies Hizzoner’s current supply-side exuberance may be the result of a transformation for the better.  Take a look here, though, to hear why John Podhoretz maintains being against the repeal of the commuter tax may not have been a bad position to have, even for a congenital tax-cutter.

Re: Giuliani W/Kudlow [Forbes Update]

March 28, 2007

Well, it seems my remarks regarding Giuliani’s similarity, fiscally, to Steve Forbes and Phil Gramm were not simply the idle ramblings of outsider blogger. I swear I had no pre-knowledge of this when I made that remark, and this may explain why I had to step in for the media directors of the campaign last night on “Libertarian Politics Live” [link my debut performance here]

It seems Steve Forbes has joined the campaign as Hizzoner’s National Campaign Co-Chair and Senior Policy Adviser. Now Phil Gramm needs to abandon McCain so I can claim this week’s pundit prognosticator award.

Seriously: Fiscal conservatives– a rapidly vanishing breed, at least in Washington, DC– have a clear choice in the GOP presidential primary. As Steve Forbes said:

“As Mayor of New York City, Rudy Giuliani showed how exercising fiscal discipline, including tax cuts, lowers deficits, spurs economic growth, and increases revenue. It is time the rest of the country benefit from a true fiscal conservative leader who gets real results.”

Attorneygate & the WWRD (What Would Rudy Do?) Factor

March 28, 2007

I am a distinct admirer of President Bush. He is a leader by any accurate and relevant definition of the term. He has conviction and moral clarity and is willing to do the right thing and pursue the nation’s long-term interest even when doing so comes at a steep political cost to himself, as has been demonstrated by his dogged perseverence in Iraq. That feature is too rare among our political leaders today, and I sincerely hope and expect history to judge him kindly for it.

But I must admit that his largely passive behavior in this current “scandal” over the eight dismissed U.S. attorneys is disheartening. The behavior of those Congressional Democrats pursuing it is of a purely political and substanceless nature, and the president should have asserted as much when this furor first erupted. He should have made it clear that he had every right to fire the attorneys under the Constitution, as did President Clinton when he fired all 93 U.S. attorneys at the beginning of his presidency, and that neither he nor his administration would be a party to the Democrats’ hackish political games.

But he didn’t, and his failure to do so has, as Fred Barnes points out, “encouraged his Democratic foes to be even more belligerent and discouraged his Republican allies.”

The reason I even discuss this is that I think this situation illuminates a large reason for Mayor Giuliani’s lead in the GOP primary polls. Given his record in Gotham–and his temperament, personality, and leadership style–a President Giuliani would have stood up for himself and his administration and he would have called out the Democrats and their behavior for what it was.

This is what Republicans want, a leader who will stand up for himself and his administration. We want someone who won’t suffer such political hackery in silence. A President Giuliani wouldn’t, and that is why he is receiving as much support as he is at this point.

Blogtalk Radio and Bloggers4Rudy

March 28, 2007

Hey gang.  If you’re interested I will be a guest on Eric Dondero’s blogtalk radio program “Libertarian Politics Live” advocating for Mayor Giuliani.  It will be at 10:30 pm EST today, link here.

Jim Dyke from the campaign was supposed to be the guest, but he got called away at the last moment and will be in an airplane at the time of the show.  So I’m stepping in.  Wish me luck!

Giuliani w/Kudlow

March 27, 2007

Mayor Giuliani spoke with Larry Kudlow recently, a lonely voice of economic reason in the Trotskyist realm of the media. The mayor addresses one of my pet peeves: People who try to massage public behavior through minute manipulation of the tax code. Well, he didn’t explicitly call those people willing tools of the accounting industry and nascent Cromwells. But Rudy seems on the right side of that issue, too.

You see, while Hizzoner made all the appropriate remarks regarding the death tax, supply side economics and lower taxes generally, he also said of the tax code:

“I think it needs a massive simplification…if we were starting off new back at the beginning of the last century, then probably we should go with a–we probably should’ve gone with a flat tax, maybe two levels of tax, but really simple.”

Well, since Steve Forbes isn’t going to be winning any elections soon, and Phil Gramm has perhaps gone a little batty and collegial in his old age and decided to support McCain, I think that makes Mayor Giuliani the candidate of choice for people who would prefer sound economic policy unmixed with divisive social agendas.

Full transcript here.

Newsday on Rudy’s Personal Life

March 27, 2007

Apparently pictures of Rudy are making the rounds in South Carolina.  Here’s the story from Newsday.  Discuss.

AOL Election Blog has a post up titled, “When Personal Life Matters.”  Also worth a read/discussion.

Re: Rudy’s War Chest

March 26, 2007

If any of you all hadn’t noticed, I broke the news on the PA RudyBlog last Friday about how the Mayor’s fundraiser in the Philadelphia suburbs performed well above expectations, bringing in more than $350k, and also the attendance of state GOP committee bigwig Bob Asher. Pretty much all the other major candidates passed through the Philadelphia area at the same time, and the Mayor was the only one to perform above expectations, with some performing well below expectations. The post is here.

If this is indicative of Giuliani’s fundraising performance elsewhere, the 1Q07 figures for Hizzoner’s campaign will be good. I have to wonder, though, what will Romney do with all that money he’s raising? Given his polling it appears darn near every person who supports him has also written him a $2500 check. I’ve heard rumblings that his mormon-ness, or mormonity, or latter-day-sainthood– whatever the proper term is– helps him with raising money. Those networks are perpetually in place.

What’s In Rudy’s War Chest?

March 26, 2007

With the end of the month quickly approaching, many ’08 observers will be paying keen attention to fundraising performance. From some of the commentary I’ve read (Jonathan Martin at The Politico has a good piece), the mid-summer filing may actually be more indicative of overall campaign strength–but this early report will surely draw media attention.

Today we heard that McCain’s fundraising performance might not be as competitive at this point when compared with “others” in the race. Rudy has been leading in the polls, but a lot of the chatter in the blogosophere has been about Romney’s one-day windfall of over $6.5M.

My own experience with these filings, and the media hype that surrounds them, is that the candidate with the best numbers stands to further benefit from a wave of cash in the following months. Many big donors analyze fundraising prowess in deciding who to support, and they’re more likely to cut checks for someone who has already proven themselves to be a good fundraiser.

Don Surber asked the question I’ve been pondering in a post at the Daily Mail blog: What can we expect from Rudy? Will it be in the $30M range? Will he be at the front of the pack, in the middle, or what? In December, he managed to raise $800K at one fundraiser–has that continued? If I get wind of any early estimates, I’ll share them here. For now, look for the fundraising figures to dominate the campaign news cycle this week.

If Rudy’s financials match his support as expressed in a rash of recent polls, he could see a wave of new money washing into his campaign coffers.

Rudy Wins Major Ohio Straw Poll

March 25, 2007

Rudy Giuliani took nearly 31% of the votes at the annual Summit County Lincoln Day Dinner’s straw poll.

Over 800 votes were cast at the dinner held at the Crowne Plaza Hotel in downtown Akron, Ohio. The final count had Giuliani at 30.9%, John McCain with 25.8%, Fred Thompson at 12.1%, Mitt Romney with 8.6%, and rounding out the top 5 was Newt Gingrich, who carried 8.2% of the votes.

Sitting at a table of Brownback and McCain supporters, yours truly was happily surprised by Rudy’s showing – the McCain signs decorating the walls outside the banquet hall and former Senator Mike DeWine’s appearance as McCain’s surrogate (DeWine is heading the McCain operation in Ohio) made victory in this early battle here in the heartland all the more satisfying.