Archive for June, 2007

Amongst GOP Candidates, Who Do Brown People Like?

June 29, 2007

I am too lazy to find the primary source, and I’m BBQing and pork butt, so instead I will offer this link over at NRO’s Corner blog.

Mayor Giuliani has a reputation amongst the media elite as being something of an anti-minority head-banger from his time in NYC.  He also has the best pulic record amongst GOP candidates of being against race preferences.  And if I were related to Amadou Diallo I would probably agree with the media elite.

Thing is, amongst GOP presidential candidates Hizzoner has the best favorable/unfavorable ratios amongst blacks and Latinos according to a recent Gallup poll.  Amongst Latinos he even bests Amnesty McCain.

Granted, African Americans don’t like him nearly as much as they like all the Dems.  But Latinos do like Giuliani better than Obama and Edwards.

What we have here, maybe, is yet another example of the media being unable to actually divine the preferences of real Americans.  I suspect there are plenty of African Americans and Latinos who understand that when Mayor Giuliani brought order to New York City he brought order to all neighborhoods.  It’s tough to say for sure, but he may have saved more lives and more property for Latinos and blacks than for whites.

This may shock the editors of the NYT and Washington Post, but brown people are perfectly able to figure out a law and order mayor first and foremost brings law and order to the places in most desperate need.  I also guess it won’t take long for GOP primary voters to figure out there is one real law and order candidate, and he’s not a former actor.


Rudy’s Thought of the Day: June 27th

June 28, 2007

I know we just had a ‘Thought of the Week’ but today is my birthday, so it’s ok…and in this spirit, I’ll quote the man twice…

“You have to lead from cold, hard facts, not fantasy.  If you can’t say the words, ‘Islamic terrorist,’ then you have a hard time figuring out who is our biggest enemy in this world.”

To Iran: “But here’s the bottom line: You are not going to be allowed to become a nuclear power.  No how, no way, it’s just not going to happen.”

See this article for the full story.

Romney on the Burn

June 26, 2007

Mitt’s strong 1Q07 are well known.  But now he’s dipping into his own cash again to fund his campaign.  So it seems he’s burning money in a way unmatched by his opponents.  This seems to have bought him decent polling in New Hampshire and Iowa, but not so much everywhere else.  That strategy is so last millenium.

One wonders if his second quarter fundraising is going as well as his first.  Just asking.  Also, I’m still wondering why he is considered a first tier candidate.

Rudy’s Thought of the Week: June 24th

June 24, 2007

“All spending is discretionary.  Read the Constitution.”

(check out the YouTube video posted here by WA for Rudy to see Rudy say this and more)

Rudy’s YouTube Campaign

June 23, 2007

I thought this video was especially illustrative of the YouTube campaign Team Rudy is running.

Pajamas Media On Rudy’s 9/11 Narrative

June 23, 2007

Much in the same vein of this Rolling Stone article I highlighted, a recent Pajamas Media blogger noted that Rudy may face the long knives from those on the Left when it comes to 9/11. While on the same topic, this Pajamas Media article is definitely much more objective, and looks at the real or imagnined weaknesses and blind spots that Team Rudy should be looking to shore up.

As the Mayor who brought New York, and some would indeed argue the nation, through 9/11, is all of this criticism fair? Or should I say, fair game? I don’t think so–but I’m curious to hear what others think. I could certainly see this develop as the counter-narrative to Giuliani.

What they’re saying…

June 22, 2007

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and leader of the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives in 1994 is the latest national figure to praise Rudy’s candidacy.

In an AP article, Newt analyzes the current GOP field of candidates, and although he stops short of making a ringing endorsement of any one candidate, he lavishes the most praise on Rudy’s candidacy, acknowledging what we’ve been saying all along–that Rudy’s image on national security will offset his positions on any of the social issues.

Gingrich says:

In a world where a nuclear weapon could eliminate an American city in seconds, he has a very strong case. He has certainly done better so far than people would guess.

Te Gusta Sr. Giuliani? Si!

June 21, 2007

Giuliani can’t stand the current immigration bill.  Unsurprisingly, that seems to play just fine with at least one Spanish-speaking constituency:  Cuban expats!

The list of Giuliani advisers on his Florida team– Carlos Gimenez, Rebecca Sosa, Esteban Bovo, and J.C. Flores– sure seems to have a Latin swing.  And he’s winning in Florida over challenger of the month Thompson in this Strategic Vision poll.

I think it would be a hoot if more native Spanish speaking GOP voters went with Giuliani than the other candidates, especially McCain.  At least in the short term it would demonstrate that perhaps it is a little racist to try and pander to Latinos by legalizing them all.

Giuliani is in a great position on immigration.  He is clearly for enforcement first, and has the law and order background to make this position plausible.  He also, though, has a track record as mayor of NYC completely innoculating him against accusations that he just doesn’t like brown people.

National Poll Meta-Analysis

June 20, 2007

Sorry for the lengthy absence.  I was sunning myself on Florida’s Gulph coast.

During my hiatus I see there’s a whole rash of national polls out.  Some are bad for the GOP generally, like the Gallup poll here showing all potential GOP presidential candidates losing to all potential Dem. candidates.

One GOP primary poll from Rasmussen shows Hizzoner losing to Fred Thompson, link here, which likely caused some raised eyebrows over at Team Giuliani.  As this poll also shows McCain ascending to second place in the teeth of all the immigration bill hullabaloo, I am wagering at this point this poll is an outlier.

Perhaps most interestingly, though, is this poll from Gallup covering each party’s primary.  It shows Giuliani ahead of Thompson, although with a lead narrower than that to which he has become accustomed.  Most interesting– HT to K-Lo at NRO for noticing this– Giuliani’s lead surprisingly increases when it is narrowed down to only him and Thompson.  This seems to suggest Thompson is not really siphoning Giuliani supporters, but supporters of other candidates.

I guess the only thing we can make of all this, for certain, is that a Giuliani candidacy for the general election is not a slam dunk.  Of course, who ever thought it would be?  I would also posit that a murky progress report of the Iraq troop surge seems to be hurting all GOP candidates in potential general election matchups as well.

The advice from this humble blogger to the team in NYC?  Start detailing what it means, exactly, when Giuliani exhorts us to “remain on offense” in the War on Terror.  Then emphasize how that would be different from the Bush Doctrine.

Rudy’s Seattle Fundraising Stop

June 20, 2007

Interesting coverage of Rudy’s Seattle visit.  (Note: Mitt Romney is in town tomorrow.  John McCain was here in February)

David Postman, “Giuliani’s Low Profile Visit.”  Seattle Times blog.

Eric Earling, “Rudy In Town.”

Stefan Sharkansky, “Rudy Giuliani’s Seattle Visit.”

SVC Alumnus’ Blog, “Sir Rudy Giuliani Stops in Seattle.”, “Rudy Rolls Into Seattle Under the Radar.”