Author Archive

What it Comes Down To

January 30, 2008

Well, it appears our choice will be between the favored candidate of Democrats, and a transparent and robotic candidate of convenience.

It is time for the GOP to enjoy the cleansing fires of political irrelevance.  In the interim, I recommend everyone find some state legislators with their heart in the right place, and support him or her.

Also, after a few post-mortem posts, my site “PA for Hizzoner” will become “PA for Uncommitted”.  Feel free to stop by!  My humble Commonwealth always had a few supporters for McCain, but the vast majority of us preferred other candidates, and not Mitt Romney.

It is my opinion that the national party’s insincere and marginally corrupt desire for unity should be spat out like sour milk by the voters.

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Early Voting in FL is Big; Will Help Rudy

January 25, 2008

There are certainly plenty of polls out suggesting Hizzoner is slipping in FL.  Others have more positive news.

One thing these polls do not take into account is absentee balloting.  There are a LOT of those ballots in FL.  Down there, these aren’t just for people out of town.  In Florida, they are also for people who have trouble getting to a polling place, and I don’t mean any disrespect when I point out there are a bunch of oldsters in the Sunshine State for whom movement is less than ideal.

Back when most of these votes were cast Mayor Giuliani had a dominating lead in the polls.  So in any close result in FL next week with election day voting, the Mayor will have a huge edge.

Sure, we were all hoping the Mayor’s flag in Florida would be more firmly planted.  This strategy was always a gamble.  But the MSM is acting like his candidacy is dead in the water, which is absolutely not the case. 

SC Sets Table for Giuliani in FL

January 21, 2008

OK.  I guess it was too much to hope for a Thompson win in SC.  A McCain win is almost as good, though.

The GOP electorate has been experimenting with their non-McCain options since voting has started.  Everyone has been auditioned except our man.  Hizzoner remains only two points off the lead in the most recent Quinnipiac poll in FL, though, and as the results from everything post-Florida begin to sink in, the Huckster’s numbers should surely decline.

Thus the Mayor has a very real chance of winning FL, which was the plan all along.  Of course, I don’t think anyone imagined the average GOP voter would be so eager to give McCain a pass on the summer immigration flap.  Apparently it is so.  Remember those halcyon days when we all wrote off his campaign?  Would that it were so.

Again, the “surge” strategy has been set up about as well as it could have been.  For Team Rudy, I mean, not Iraq.  A week from tomorrow, we’ll know for sure if DuHaime will be writing a book, or looking for a job running a town supervisor campaign in Long Island.

I am biased, of course, but I still expect all of us to wake up on Feb. 5 with Mayor Giuliani in possession of a delegate lead, or at least very near the lead.  Then things are going to get interesting…

Open Those Wallets, Brothers and Sisters

January 18, 2008

Well, it’s finally crunch time.  For Hizzoner to win the nomination, he has to win NJ, CT, and NY on super-Tuesday.  That’s going to take some real money, of course, so whatever you have to spare for this sort of thing, now is the time to spare it.

Here’s the campaign’s donation link.

Give early, and give often!  With a little more help, Giuliani will make the pundits looks stupid– again– and find himself with a delegate lead in mid-February.

Re. Michigan GOP Primary: Rudy is the Real Winner

January 16, 2008

Ain’t that the truth.  There’s been talk recently of the campaign being a little low on ducats– and can you imagine how low they’d be on money if they pissed away seven million dollars on five delegates in IA?.

Nevertheless, all the early primaries are breaking exactly the way Team Rudy would have scribbled on the locker room chalkboard.  Or, well, board room Powerpoint presentation.
If Fred can pull out South Carolina, DuHaime’s head will explode.  In a good way.
Great post on the tax ad and how it relates to a FL ballot resolution, by the way.  I hadn’t seen that anywhere else.

Rudy Ascendant: Don’t Take My Word For It

January 10, 2008

Take the word of Patrick Basham from the Cato Institute in thisNRO piece, or thisCNBC video. [can’t find an embed code. sorry]  To my knowledge, he has not been a Giuliani water-bearer like yours truely.

One observation he makes in the NRO article that I did not in the post below:  All the ads in early primary states currently run by McCain, Romney, and Huckabee– many of them negative– cost money.  That’s an obvious problem.  What I had not thought about is how they’ve also allowed Hizzoner to appear less irascible and divisive.

That was supposed to be one of his weaknesses, remember?  That he was a real SOB, and while people like me may view that as a feature many people think it’s a bug.  But for close to a month, now, it’s all the other candidates that have been acting like political streetfighters.  Mayor Giuliani, on the other hand, has stood by appearing sober and above the fray.

Dare I say “Presidential”?

Things Breaking Rudy’s Way. Seriously.

January 9, 2008

It will only be mentioned in passing, but it looks like NH broke the way Team Rudy would want.  Just like IA.

Hizzoner probably would have liked McCain to win by more, but McCain appears to have not only won the primary, but also appears to have won among GOP voters only.  Romney was hoping to take solace in crowing about winning the GOP vote, only losing to McCain because independents opted for the aged veteran.

The fact that Clinton pulled out an unexpected victory will also distract the media, making the McCain victory apt to quickly become old news.

Huck’s IA bounce evaporated, and Thompson barely registered at all.

Finally, our man did avoid the ignominy of losing to Ron Paul.

This forces Romney and McCain to both vigorously contest MI, and Huck and Fred both into an all-in pot in SC.

So all other candidates will be otherwise disposed until FL, spending money their campaigns don’t have, while Team Rudy continues to accrue interest on the resources devoted to what they hope will be a Tsunami Tuesday blitz following a FL win.

That was always the plan.  Bit of a nail-biter, sure.  But if the national strategy is viable– which I always thought was the case– then the dominoes are setting up appropriately.

Perspective? We Don’t Need No Stinkin’ Perspective!

January 4, 2008

Last night’s results, actually, were perfect for the Giuliani campaign given they elected to forgoe spending seven million dollars in an attempt to kiss up to every Iowan with a pulse.

Romney was dealt a huge defeat.  By his own campaign’s admission IA and/or NH were hugely important to them.  They spent the ethanol farm on IA, and lost.  And NH isn’t looking good.  But that man is stuffed to the gills with venture capital, so he’ll still fight on to Super Duper Tuesday.

Thompson and McCain did OK, encouraging them to stay in the race.

Ron Paul didn’t surprise anyone with a particularly impressive showing.

So it looks like last night Team Rudy got the result they needed.  There will not be any one candidate piling up victories and delegates before Florida, and Florida is where the Giuliani team has planted their flag.

So Team Rudy will get to FL, where our man still leads in all polls.  The only candidate coming on strong is the Huck.  If the Huckster can win Florida, we’re all doomed.

Rudy wins Florida, though, and then piles up some delegates from NY, NJ, DE, CA and others on Tsunami Tuesday, then the national strategy will be vindicated.  And his campaign team can then make some money on a book.

The important thing to note, though, is last night’s results were the first empirical confirmation of the national stragegy’s political viability.

Monty Johnson Hits it Big

January 2, 2008

Anyone else remember Monty Johnson?  He was the neighbor of John Edwards called “slummy” by Mrs. Edwards, which is particularly rich coming from the wife of the man who’s been giving the “two Americas” speech for the last six years.

Monty, by the way, also happened to be a Giuliani supporter.  So at least in this space, what some people may find “slummy” we know is merely American rusticana.

Well, hoist a toast to Monty.  It appears some anonymous buyer has paid him a cool $1.6m for his entire property, no questions asked.  Some speculate that it is the Edwards clan.  Personally, I’m hoping it’s really the initial foray for a Dollywood eastward expansion.

Religion and the GOP Nomination

December 3, 2007

Sorry about my recent hiatus.  Work takes over one’s time, sometimes, which I imagine is not nearly as large a problem for left-wing political activists.

Upon dipping into the blogosphere for the first time in a week, I learn Mitt will be doing a “Mormon speech” on Thursday.  No doubt he was inspired to do as much by slipping to second place in IA behind Huck, despite outspending him by more than eight to one.

This is dangerous territory for Romney, and could backfire in a huge way.  Again, let me state for the record that I have no problems at all with Mormons.  Still, by drawing potential evangelical fire upon his own position more people may learn things like this which seem a bit weird to mere cultural Christians, which happens to describe a majority of American voters.

Obviously, nobody will mistake Giuliani for a particularly rigorous Catholic.  In fact, it is not unfair ask if– by the strict definition of the Catholic Church– Rudy even still isa Catholic.  So his campaign is in no position to even consider playing dirty pool with the religion question.  It appears, though, that Mitt will openly invite questions concerning religion and politics, and one suspects Huckabee’s campaign manager is licking his chops at the opportunity.

This is great news for Team Rudy.  There’s no bad way for it to break.  Either Mitt’s gambit fails, and his support fractures.  Or it succeeds, and Romney and Huckabee distract themselves by squabbling over the religious right.