Archive for the ‘Fundraising’ Category

Rudy Ascendant: Don’t Take My Word For It

January 10, 2008

Take the word of Patrick Basham from the Cato Institute in thisNRO piece, or thisCNBC video. [can’t find an embed code. sorry]  To my knowledge, he has not been a Giuliani water-bearer like yours truely.

One observation he makes in the NRO article that I did not in the post below:  All the ads in early primary states currently run by McCain, Romney, and Huckabee– many of them negative– cost money.  That’s an obvious problem.  What I had not thought about is how they’ve also allowed Hizzoner to appear less irascible and divisive.

That was supposed to be one of his weaknesses, remember?  That he was a real SOB, and while people like me may view that as a feature many people think it’s a bug.  But for close to a month, now, it’s all the other candidates that have been acting like political streetfighters.  Mayor Giuliani, on the other hand, has stood by appearing sober and above the fray.

Dare I say “Presidential”?

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3Q07 Fundraising Numbers

October 5, 2007

It seems everyone was paying more attention to the fundraising numbers the previous quarter.  It is still gratifying to notice that Hizzoner raised more last quarter than any other GOP candidate.  Assuming, of course, you don’t count the $8.5 million Romney gave to himself.

He just keeps spending and spending, and pretty much has a lead in a single midwestern caucus to show for it.

Alas, you all may have also noticed the Dems continue to out-raise the GOP.  It is distressing, but I won’t get in a twist about it for a bit.  Hillary looks likely to win the Dem nod.  As soon as there is officially a candidate Clinton redux I expect GOP donors to start writing so many checks to the appropriate candidate that they’ll have to start selling stock and working longer hours to accommodate their burning need to defeat her.  They just don’t know who that candidate is, yet.

And Giuliani Continues to Raise Boatloads of Cash

September 13, 2007

Hizzoner’s commanding advantage in the polls– mentioned below– is particularly astonishing given the fact that in those early states where Giuliani is not leading, he is second to Mitt.  And Mitt has spent exponentially more money.

Nevertheless, Giuliani is continuing to grow his campaign’s financial resources.  Just recently, for example, he raised $350k in Georgia in only three days.  Isn’t that supposed to be Fred Dalton Thompson’s turf?

Team Giuliani his preparing to open the cash spigots in early primary states.  Expect the opposition to start slinging mud at about the same time.

As we’ve already seen, Romney for one knows how to sling mud.  He may, in fact, be the dirtiest of the bunch.  It will be interesting to see how that affects the saintly image he’s gone to such great lengths to cultivate.  Of course, he’s a venture capitalist.  Anyone who’s ever worked with a VC can tell you how well saintly halos fit on one of those cats…

Don’t Let Rudy, or Romney, Duck the Debate!

July 29, 2007

If Rudy backs out of this debate, he’s going to lose a whole lot of online support. Go here for more info on saving the debate.

McCain Meltdown

July 12, 2007

Well, many pixels have been scattered commenting on the McCain campaign’s auger into the flight deck.  The question for those of us aligned with Giuliani is this:  How does it effect Rudy’s chances of securing the nomination?

My first instinct, actually, is this is BAD for Giuliani.  Without delving into the details, I think we can stipulate there is a small but noisy minority in the GOP that just can’t stand him.  That minority becomes proportionally larger every time a candidate drops out of the race.  The more candidates there are opposing Giuliani then the more the influence of those single-issue voters blinded to political reality is diffused.  The last thing Giuliani needs is for all those folks to gravitate to one guy.

Upon relflection, though, it seems to me this doesn’t change things at all.  Why?  Because ultimately that noisy minority will NEVER coalesce behind a single candidate.  Fred Thompson has his own social issue problems, and he’s part of the Hollywood mafia, walking around with a wife who is, frankly, even more obviously a trophy than Giuliani’s Judi.  And that’s hard to do.

Mitt Romney has also been a flip-flopper extraordinaire who can only inspire reluctant support from this minority.  Also– and let me be clear that when I say the following I am in no way saying this is how I or the Giuliani campaign feel– there’s the Mormon thing.  There are a lot of Evangelical Christians who simply don’t think the Church of Latter Day Saints is altogether kosher.  Many think Mormons are even bigger apostates than Catholics.

So what this means is the single-issue socially conservative voters now w/McCain will splinter amongst all the other candidates, including the Huckabee and Brownback bitter-enders.  As a former libertarian bitter-ender, I mean no disrespect there.  Besides, there were never many of those folks in McCain’s camp in the first place.

So what’s left of McCain’s support?  The institutional men.  The former Dubya campaign folks, Senate groupies, that sort of thing.  Now, those people like nothing more than a front-runner.  So I submit they will split marginally in Giuliani’s favor, offsetting the marginal gains the other “top tier” candidates get from McCain’s social right refugees.

In the end it’s a wash, yet again countering the conventional wisdom, in this care that more candidates is better for Giuliani.

2Q07 Fundraising: Rudy Offically Kicks Butt

July 4, 2007

Well, kids, we now know the answer to what you can buy with 15 million dollars:  Decent polls in IA and NH.  Running for president is expensive!

In the second quarter of this year the Giuliani campaign raised a couple more million than their nearest competitor, Team Romney.  This does NOT count the loans Romney keeps giving to himself.

At the same time, Romney spent about 15 million more dollars than Team Giuliani.  This almost certainly explains why his polling has improved, since as far as I can tell no actual voters seem to be warming to the Romney-bot.  Even those that want to like him, like my old man, can’t seem to muster any real enthusiasm.

These figures also explain why Romney dipped into is fortune recently to fund his campaign.  Without that cash infusion his campaign would have spent more than they took in.  Not a very good example for someone who wants to be seen as a fiscally conservative leader, eh?  This is in contrast to the Giuliani campaign which has been scrupulous with their money, while now out-raising Romney.

Where’s McCain, you may ask?  Well, in this case if you have to ask you can’t afford it.  His numbers would have looked great in 1976, though.

Team Giuliani, by the way, more than doubled the number of individual contributors they have.  What is the meta-point we have learned here?  Yet again, it appears Giuliani’s leadership and positions most closely match that of the average GOP voter, and that voter should know all about him by now.  I wonder if the pundits are ready to admit these people aren’t ignorant yahoos.

Full analysis here.

Fundraising in 2Q07

July 2, 2007

Early rumors are leaking out.  Obama’s fundraising is stunning despite the fact he’s been tentatively playing defense on the campaign trail.  McCain’s numbers will apparently be appallingly poor.  Romney has again dipped into his personal fortune to continue renting decent polls in IA and NH, and his minions have been downplaying expectations on talk radio– although I think there’s a chance they’re playing possum.

I’ve heard no rumors at all about Giuliani’s numbers, though.  I sent him a couple ducats, and it would be charitable to say I am not very liquid.  Hope y’all can do the same.  Has anyone else out there heard any scuttlebutt about how his 2Q07 numbers look?

Rudy’s Seattle Fundraising Stop

June 20, 2007

Interesting coverage of Rudy’s Seattle visit.  (Note: Mitt Romney is in town tomorrow.  John McCain was here in February)

David Postman, “Giuliani’s Low Profile Visit.”  Seattle Times blog.

Eric Earling, “Rudy In Town.” SoundPolitics.com

Stefan Sharkansky, “Rudy Giuliani’s Seattle Visit.”  SoundPolitics.com

SVC Alumnus’ Blog, “Sir Rudy Giuliani Stops in Seattle.”

RespectfullyRepublican.com, “Rudy Rolls Into Seattle Under the Radar.”

Rudy’s fundraising: A Closer Look

April 20, 2007

At the end of the first quarter, Rudy

  • raised $14.8 million
  • had $11 million in cash on hand
  • held 36 fundraising events in the month of March
  • received money from 28, 300 individual contributors
  • only spent $5.7 million (less than half of what Romney spent)
  • New York, California, and Texas were all major sources of Rudy’s campaign contributions (all 3 states carry a lot of votes and influence in the super tuesday primaries next year)
  • Average contribution: $492

And here’s the really interesting piece of info:

  • 64% of Rudy’s contributions were under $100

This fact just confirms that Giuliani enjoys broad support among the electorate and has energized the grassroots.  Average, hardworking Americans are looking for a candidate in ‘08 they can trust and this early on, they’re voting with their pocketbooks.

Texas A Cash Cow for Rudy

April 18, 2007

The Dallas Morning News reported on Monday that Rudy has raised $2.2 million in the Lone Star state.

Mr. Giuliani benefited from being a name partner at the Houston law firm Bracewell and Giuliani (whose Texas partners gave $47,000) as well as having one-time Texas Republican moneyman Roy Bailey as his national finance chief.

As a result, he raised as much in Texas as his GOP competitors combined.

“Rudy had a great team,” said Dallas businessman and long-time Republican Richard Collins. “They got motivated and decided they were going to take charge and it shows in their success.”